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Seasonality

Is any weekday better for NIFTY? Two years of day-of-week returns

NIFTY · Apr 2023 – Mar 2025 · 485 sessions · spot · close-to-close
Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. These are backtested past results, not investment advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future returns.
query › "Break down NIFTY's average daily (close-to-close) return by day of the week."
+34.4
Friday avg pts
−7.3
Tuesday avg pts
+3,334
Friday total
−716
Tuesday total
485
Sessions

Trader folklore is full of weekday superstitions. We checked NIFTY's actual day-of-week pattern: the average close-to-close move on each weekday, over two years. Here's every session sorted by the day it landed on.

WeekdayAvg moveWin rateTotal pointsSessions
Monday+13.458.5%+1,25994
Tuesday−7.356.1%−71698
Wednesday+14.158.3%+1,35696
Thursday+8.053.0%+802100
Friday+34.454.6%+3,33497

Friday did the heavy lifting

Friday averaged +34 points a day — more than double any other weekday and worth +3,334 points on its own. Tuesday was the only loser, averaging −7. Curiously, Tuesday still won 56% of its days: it lost because its down days were bigger, not more frequent — the same win-rate-lies lesson from elsewhere on this blog.

Read this one carefully
Two years is a small sample for a weekday effect — roughly 95–100 observations per day. Patterns this size can appear and vanish with the next market regime, and expiry-day mechanics (weekly expiries land on set weekdays) can colour the numbers. This is an observation about the past window, not a tradeable rule. Treat it as a curiosity, not a signal.

Takeaway

In this window NIFTY's gains clustered on Fridays and Tuesday was flat-to-down. Interesting, and consistent with some global weekday studies — but far too small a sample to bet on. The honest use of seasonality is context and awareness, not a standalone edge.

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